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Navigating the Changes in Fed Strategy
Did the Fed soften its commitment to forward guidance and data dependency?
Oct 12, 2024
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Macro Convexity
Jackson Hole Chronicles: An Odyssey
A Tale of Transitory Theories, Tightening, and Tenacity
Aug 20, 2024
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Macro Convexity
Navigating Choppy Market Seas
The market (or robots) continues to overreact to data that is, by nature, volatile.
Aug 6, 2024
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Macro Convexity
US rates: dancing in the rain
Volatility should continue in the short term, but the bias and asymmetry seem clear
Jun 4, 2024
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Macro Convexity
When Good is Good and Bad is Good
Sometimes, market players simply want to be happy
Jun 4, 2023
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Macro Convexity
Fed never anticipates a pause
When communicating formally, they always leave the doors open
Apr 26, 2023
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Macro Convexity
The Fed's Reaction Function & Rate Cuts
What is needed to confirm the market's expectation for rate cuts this year?
Apr 17, 2023
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Macro Convexity
Financial Stability Threats
The Multi-Faceted Consequences of High Write Downs in Commercial Real Estate for Credit Availability, Economic Growth, and Real Estate Markets
Apr 7, 2023
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Macro Convexity
A New Risk on the Horizon?
The ramifications of banking stress
Apr 4, 2023
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Macro Convexity
Quick Review: The Phillips Curve
The Phillips Curve is a concept in macroeconomics that describes the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment.
Apr 1, 2023
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Macro Convexity
Fed - Facing the Market's Wishful Thinking
Fitzgerald: "The test of a first-rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposed ideas in the mind at the same time"
Mar 30, 2023
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Macro Convexity
A Fed Pause? Lags in Monetary Policy
Revisiting Brainard's Principle
Mar 15, 2023
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Macro Convexity
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Macro Convexity
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